Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1402.339597 1539.276135 1678.976051 1831.880554 1994.252438 2161.262490 2345.752672
2025-04-13 1131.758008 1327.327180 1535.734861 1773.232358 2035.254539 2314.418221 2633.228971
2025-04-20 1032.253690 1269.299892 1529.765277 1834.861063 2180.087104 2556.348301 2995.143452
2025-04-27 942.593776 1207.981763 1507.392906 1866.326960 2281.040311 2741.425146 3287.354855
2025-05-04 851.963064 1135.333649 1463.011867 1864.243976 2336.602414 2869.574083 3510.831476
2025-05-11 769.420462 1064.538961 1413.882878 1850.170142 2372.697014 2970.993028 3700.239206
2025-05-18 711.895622 1019.154059 1390.610854 1862.683567 2436.595677 3102.078737 3922.213687
2025-05-25 650.753647 964.410619 1351.697010 1852.436134 2470.128561 3195.127454 4098.041865
2025-06-01 611.060420 934.081756 1340.472155 1873.873824 2540.171443 3330.362403 4323.244223
2025-06-08 559.369987 884.326695 1301.470877 1857.782299 2561.891212 3405.935833 4476.206792
2025-06-15 537.003545 872.291275 1309.672880 1900.337012 2655.613679 3568.523399 4734.233018
2025-06-22 503.257153 842.315189 1292.469805 1908.684593 2705.308035 3676.694253 4926.244095
2025-06-29 468.331397 809.185588 1270.186003 1910.196898 2746.941896 3776.425309 5110.611635
2025-07-06 414.027148 744.783685 1202.638480 1849.429287 2706.718664 3772.945670 5167.146586
2025-07-13 406.443223 748.477725 1228.317686 1912.892786 2827.287586 3971.414314 5474.895928
2025-07-20 389.346625 736.666275 1231.445671 1945.284817 2907.076569 4118.647300 5719.542649
2025-07-27 362.776605 708.607136 1210.148419 1943.140667 2940.569113 4206.668716 5890.026885
2025-08-03 334.603758 676.161268 1180.941271 1928.652996 2956.561787 4271.599730 6031.100119
2025-08-10 316.289693 658.269422 1171.933592 1941.534421 3008.661677 4382.815954 6231.074862
2025-08-17 292.943966 630.583724 1147.128107 1930.985683 3028.282560 4451.483720 6376.734615
2025-08-24 279.664622 618.852782 1145.556056 1953.053129 3092.034895 4577.717714 6596.584398
2025-08-31 257.724788 590.823383 1117.935122 1936.489104 3101.979514 4632.938434 6724.898880
2025-09-07 251.568256 589.946288 1131.887376 1980.290690 3195.400400 4798.504374 6996.571138